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On 4 machines with Windows 10 Pro 1909 with the following settings:
Feature deferrals=0, Quality deferrals=8 in GUI the below had occurred:

On a Dell Inspiron 5477 – Windows 10 2004 had installed automatically.

On a Lenovo Thinkpad T560 – the “incompatibility” message had appeared in Windows Update

On an old Sony Vaio laptop (Intel Core i3 + AMD Radeon) – it installed automatically.

On an old HP Laptop with Intel Core + NVIDIA GeForce – the “incompatibility” message had appeared in Windows Update

All the automatic upgrades to Windows 10 2004 had occurred on May 30, 2020.

On 4 machines with Windows 10 Pro 1909 with the following settings:
Feature deferrals=0, Quality deferrals=8 in GUI the below had occurred:

On a Dell Inspiron 5477 – Windows 10 2004 had installed automatically. The following issue happened after an update: https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/support/articles/000056299/memory-and-storage.html

On a Lenovo Thinkpad T560 – the “incompatibility” message had appeared in Windows Update (most likely due to “GameInput Redistributable” being installed; after uninstalling and running Windows Update Assistant – the update went through)

On an old Sony Vaio laptop (Intel Core i3 + AMD Radeon) – it installed automatically.

On an old HP Laptop with Intel Core + NVIDIA GeForce – the “incompatibility” message had appeared in Windows Update (most likely due to old GeForce drivers)

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woody

I’ve had the same issue yesterday (using Office Deployment Toolkit, Online Repair option and regular Office 365 update button; changing Internet Service Provider from broadband to mobile). Office logs from temporary folder once said:

05/16/2020 09:11:29.315 SETUP (0x29a0) 0x1e90 Click-To-Run Non Task Error bg869 Unexpected DownloadOffice::DownloadPackages {“MachineId”: “5130d70e037488468d548d9387a2918b”, “SessionID”: “502e680a-7e53-416c-83bf-462107d62080”, “GeoID”: 191, “Ver”: “16.0.12730.20270”, “C2RClientVer”: “16.0.12730.20256”, “ErrorCode”: 101, “ErrorType”: “”, “AppVErrorSource”: “”, “ErrorMessage”: “”, “ErrorDetails”: “”, “ContextData”: “Failed on hashcheck of http://officecdn.microsoft.com/pr/492350f6-3a01-4f97-b9c0-c7c6ddf67d60/Office/Data/16.0.12730.20270/stream.x64.x-none.dat“}

Sure enough stream.x64.x-none.dat was downloaded to a proper folder but the install did not work. When I used Office Deployment Toolkit to install 16.0.12730.20250 – it downloaded and installed just fine.

After 1,5 hours (which was about 1:30 AM GMT-7) 16.0.12730.20270 update had finally started to work.

I am running Windows 10 1909 with May 2020 updates.